DISQUS

Credit Writedowns: Switzerland threatened with bankruptcy

  • Stevie b · 10 months ago
    The Swiss deserve everything that's coming to them. They're still in denial about their role in WW2 and their banks and laws have been designed to rape the legitimate tax authorities of the world at great cost to those country's poorer citizens. The Swiss have been in denial & the only relatively clean thing about the country is just possibly the snow - but only if it's freshly fallen snow, cos it wont stay whiter than white in Switzerland for long.
  • ihategovernment · 2 days ago
    OMG what a crap!
    I could tell you just the same.. that britain deserves its trillion in new debt because of its imperialistic policies around the world.. or even America's wars and funding of Al Qaeda against russia... to blame switzerland for its role in WW2 is just ridiculous.. I would rather be thankful for its attitude of respect for citizen's privacy (banking secrecy) rather than beeing proud of other governments' hostile and doubtful policies towards its own citizen. And if you just don't agree to swiss policy of restrict information why don't you ask Senator Levin why there still are tax havens in the US (Nevada and Delaware) and in the UK (too many to be listed)...
  • Bert · 10 months ago
    The translator of the article has missed out on a few things : a) Arthur P. Schmidt is NOT a "well-known economist"; he is a journalist with some economic knowledge, but nowhere in the top ranks. b) The newspaper "Tagesanzeiger" is by no means the best source for Swiss financial information. I suggest that the blog's editor consult the "Neue Zuercher Zeitung" more often for serious comment. c) why are the Swiss issuing Dollar debt ? The answer is very simple and could have been found in other Swiss papers as well: as the Swiss National Bank is taking over the toxic assets of UBS (U.S. student loans ! among others) - all denominated in USD - it had to issue debt in this currency in order to avoid future exchange risks. I do not believe that translating this article in English will help a great deal U.S. and foreign readers to understand what is going on. It will rather confuse and (wrongly) frighten them. Switzerland is nowhere near bankruptcy, rest assured. --- By another "well know" Swiss economist.
  • Edward Harrison · 10 months ago
    @Bert

    I am the one who translated the article. And, yes, Artur Schmidt is an 'economic journalist' rather than an economist. He writes at Money Cab, which I have referenced in the sources.

    I am not taking a position in this post, but rather relaying information I believe is relevant. I tend to think Schmidt is overplaying the severity of the crisis regarding bankruptcy. But, his conclusions should not be dismissed i.e. Swiss franc weakness and ratings downgrade.

    The figures used by Schmidt are real as are the problems at UBS and Credit Suisse involving additional potential writedowns. These are problems that are widely known.

    Also, you should note that I quoted from NZZ in an article about UBS. The link is below.

    http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/02/ubs-is-...

    Also you should note my quote from the referenced earlier article:

    The Swiss are funding the UBS assets they took on in September. UBS transferred positions worth $16 billion to the same SNB StabFund issuing the short-term U.S. dollar notes. The SNB is acquiring tens of billions in toxic assets. Here is a story on that (here). This seems very likely.
  • Michael · 10 months ago
    This piece is very much like the one published by Mr Prichard in the Telegraph last Sunday about Eastern Europe and the Euro.

    Writing something like: "At the end of September, one had to pay 46 francs for 100 Polish zlotys. Today it is 30 francs." is irrelevant as this loans were issued long before September 2008.

    It's true that the Polish Zloty lost 20%-30% of it's value in the last year but at the same time the CHF Libor crashed and the monthly payment is now lower for some mortgages.

    Of course the current hardship could make it more difficult for some people to repay a loan and this could further destabilize Swiss banks and Switzerland . But one must not forget that this hardship results from the wrongdoings in the U.S.

    I wonder why The Telegraph, Moody's and even RBS try to destabilize the Euro and the CHF.
  • Edward Harrison · 10 months ago
    @Michael, the bankruptcy title is an attention grabber, but, as I have said, I believe it overplays things a great deal. However, all of this was easily foreseeable. I predicted as much a full two months ago. (See the post below).

    http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2008/12/top-ten...

    What irks me about the situation is that many policy makers had their heads buried in the sand about what was sure to transpire. We are in a deleveraging process with many potential pitfalls. A much more aggressive response is warranted than the one we have seen in Europe, the UK or the U.S. Had these problems been addressed earlier and an IMF bailout or similar remedy been proposed, we wouldn't be in this situation right now.
  • dailythomas (Thomas R. Stegelm · 10 months ago
    Reading: "Switzerland threatened with bankruptcy - Credit Writedowns" - Are you going bust? #switzerland ( http://tinyurl.com/cc98w3 )
  • damiendamien (Damien McElvanna · 10 months ago
    Swiss bankruptcy. Nelson from Simpsons Ha Ha:http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/02/switzerland-threatened-with-bankruptcy.html
  • damiendamien (Damien McElvanna · 10 months ago
    Swiss bankruptcy. That'll teach them for destroying my facial nerves! http://tinyurl.com/cc98w3
  • gregorylent · 10 months ago
    globalization won't stop ... nature is globalized, we are part of nature, just have to figure out how to do it right. enjoy, gregory lent
  • Goldbug · 10 months ago
    From what has been published so far regarding loans made to Eastern European countries at risk, it looks Austria > Germany > Italy are going to suffer the most. Switzerland's loans are not big in comparison. So, I doubt the article is true. Tagesanzeiger is a newspaper that loves to bash banks and wants to provoke to attract readers. Switzerland going belly-up would not be good news for other countries as it is one of the major money centers. So, won't happen.
  • Michael · 10 months ago
    @gregorylent

    "globalization won’t stop … nature is globalized" to the contrary, nature creates isolated and diversified worlds. Globalization is the highly unnatural and unstable result of a human mind's sickness.
  • Mats · 10 months ago
    @ Stevie b

    If you know nothing about history than the junk you read in the "news"papers, you rather shut up. The Swiss have thouroughly reflected on their role in WWII several times over. In the 90s, when the silly campaign of Senator d'Amato against Switzerland was what formed your pitty brain, the Swiss taxpayers have financed a complete review of *all* Swiss banks to the tune of 1 billion Swiss francs only to find 76 million CHF on accounts from WWII, two thirds of which where non-jewish in origin. It's the British, the French and many others who are in denial about their dark sides, certainly not the Swiss, pitty you!
  • kfacz · 10 months ago
    Situation in Poland:
    2008.07 - 1CHF = 2.0PLN - you can go to ANY bank and take a loan for 120% value of you new flat/apartament. i live in Warsaw, lot of my friends took that loan. unemployment rate - 10% but in warsaw was close to 0% especially if you have a master degree and skills to work in office such as advertising agency or as finanial advisor or similar type of job.
    Now - you cannot take a loan or rent a money from bank. one square meter is down close to 25% from 2008.07. franc is up - 1CHF = 3.3PLN within my friends unemployment rate is close to 20%. banks are full of CHF loans, even if you sell the apartament you have close to half of the money you borrowed. did i mentioned that the loans weve given in rates even for 50 years?
  • Stevie b. · 10 months ago
    @Mats

    I'm certainly not going to go into Swiss history here.

    Suffice to say that your reply made no mention of my other accusation that the poor of the world have suffered because of the smug, self-enriching Swiss attitude to secret bank accounts and their rwo-fingered response to legitimate foreign tax-authorities. Hopefully the recent UBS $ 3/4 billion fine and having to open their books to the US authorities will be just the start of a global revolt against Swiss banks. Not before time.
  • Chris · 10 months ago
    The article was later dismissed by the Swiss National Bank. One omission is essential: most of the loans in CHF were originated by Eastern European banks which financed themselves by emitting CHF bonds.
    A few serious Swiss economists are afraid that the CHF will even strengthen as a result of this...

    @Stevie: your knowledge about Switzerland must be coming from FOX News, is it?
  • Stevie b. · 10 months ago
    C'mmon Chris. I suppose the Swiss are doing the poor of the world a favour with their banking secrecy laws? I hear the U.S. want 50,000 more names and the Swiss have given their usual, "neutral" two-fingered response. Making money from the misery of the poor is clearly as addictive as class A drugs.
  • George Lips · 10 months ago
    Maybe you mix up things. The exposure of Switzerland is
    60 B in comparison do 400 B of other European countries, like Austria, Spain, England, Italy, Germany.
    To Steve: The Swiss did not burn children like the USA
    in Vietnam and the Israeli now in Gaza. The Swiss have saved twohundred thousand including 30'000 Jews, who never said thanks. On the contrary the Jews have recveived Billions from Swiss Banks, about 20 times the amount in the forgotten accounts. I am a banker who treated jewish customers after the war. These accounts were of no importance to the banks.They just added interest to accounts, every year and wated for someone to claim the money.l
    Today we live through the same aggressiveness from the Americans. Take your money back, we really do not need it, provided you can depostit it in a safe account in your country. Switzerland is now a world leader not only in luxury watches, also in Drug, Food, machinery, surveillance etc.. We really do not need bad money.
  • Palaiologou · 10 months ago
    I see the things different than Bert.
    a) I don't think it is an evidence of competence to be a well-known economic author. The opposite is true, main stream economic authors did not at all forecast the crisis and its dimensions. Therefore it is much more an evidence of either stupidity or what is much worse, betrayal, as many of the well-known economic authors are agents of the Anglo-American-Jewish conglomerate.
    How can it be a good thing to be a main stream well known economic author, when the vast majority of the media is owned by the same and the same people. This shows only devotion to these people, what I would not consider to be a good thing.
    b) Again, the Neue Zürcher Zeitung, did not at all forecast what we whitness today. Rather, it is completely controlled by freemasonry. Tagesanzeiger is in this comparison considerably better, as it allows also critical voices. Again, Neue Zürcher Zeitung and all of this 'sophisticated' media, all have the same position like Gordon Brown regarding Gold who sold 400 tons of gold at 270$ telling the public this is a good thing. Now we have 1000$ gold, and media is continuing to tell us we should continue to trust the dollar, swiss franc, euro.
    So I would recommend to start to read non-well-known economic writers. Try Bill Murphy from LeMetropoleCafe.
  • kkk · 10 months ago
    @Chris

    who do you think bought these bonds ? do you think a lot of, say, Germans converted Euros to CHFs just to buy bonds yielding 1% ?

    i guess gross of these bonds were bought by Swiss banks and pension funds