Credit Writedowns - Latest Comments in Bullish data, recoveries, crashes and the psychology of forecasting reduxhttp://creditwritedowns.disqus.com/Today's latest business and financial news reports and the best credit crisis coverageenMon, 02 Nov 2009 21:58:00 -0000Re: Bullish data, recoveries, crashes and the psychology of forecasting reduxhttp://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/11/bullish-data-recoveries-crashes-and-the-psychology-of-forecasting-redux.html#comment-120729092<p>On the economic/financial side: A major spike in oil prices, a collapse OR spike in the U.S. dollar, longer-term double digit unemployment, stock market crash. On the political side: War or realized nuclear ambitions in Iran. These are probably the most well-known exogenous events that are risks.</p>Edward HarrisonMon, 02 Nov 2009 21:58:00 -0000Re: Bullish data, recoveries, crashes and the psychology of forecasting reduxhttp://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/11/bullish-data-recoveries-crashes-and-the-psychology-of-forecasting-redux.html#comment-120729091<p>In your opinion what kind of event or situation could start the unravelling of the current carry trade?</p>Francis from BelgiumMon, 02 Nov 2009 15:13:00 -0000Re: Bullish data, recoveries, crashes and the psychology of forecasting reduxhttp://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/11/bullish-data-recoveries-crashes-and-the-psychology-of-forecasting-redux.html#comment-120729090<p>In your opinion what kind of event or situation could start the unravelling of the current carry trade?</p>Francis from BelgiumMon, 02 Nov 2009 15:12:00 -0000